Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 312.021284 354.638716 402.462487 460.395148 529.059869 608.323913 707.436439
2025-01-05 243.409910 296.962377 362.694417 450.417823 566.117041 715.939327 928.729804
2025-01-12 208.237646 265.992958 341.196542 448.390694 600.798995 815.410437 1151.274297
2025-01-19 177.237598 233.992380 311.133323 426.600385 600.428639 861.784140 1304.184439
2025-01-26 166.063243 226.438539 312.054448 446.675214 661.605634 1007.866550 1646.152816
2025-02-02 158.732176 222.895785 317.493800 473.242447 736.246690 1189.564900 2100.342299
2025-02-09 146.648540 210.708464 308.091674 474.436835 768.462983 1304.582257 2464.334714
2025-02-16 133.702172 195.721175 292.392408 462.629998 775.312165 1373.590763 2754.641817
2025-02-23 123.173923 183.412062 279.496697 453.568208 785.081614 1449.398806 3083.917121
2025-03-02 117.752972 178.672684 278.362322 464.806183 834.821559 1617.084011 3693.468092
2025-03-09 110.932149 170.977726 271.360155 464.217785 860.714834 1739.039452 4234.246322
2025-03-16 103.430588 161.497472 260.316211 454.511879 865.930542 1814.832633 4677.435817
2025-03-23 97.960629 155.222792 254.668444 455.241204 895.265965 1959.668050 5412.771068
2025-03-30 91.495188 146.744388 244.317164 445.426839 899.824015 2044.827878 6004.519178
2025-04-06 86.724846 140.866730 238.183617 443.426723 922.028912 2182.794785 6864.557413
2025-04-13 79.959702 130.932598 223.593363 421.933988 894.040436 2174.669905 7164.012389
2025-04-20 78.742576 130.961861 227.981512 441.734824 971.535156 2495.401296 9047.582708
2025-04-27 78.227497 132.221658 234.846267 467.934892 1071.217171 2921.270510 11818.704792
2025-05-04 75.083110 128.290077 230.982652 469.112654 1104.138141 3141.367284 13772.341864
2025-05-11 70.921504 122.138664 222.104360 457.469721 1099.185555 3228.886573 15065.179092
2025-05-18 67.336787 116.884963 214.687765 448.533047 1100.656963 3341.902688 16654.513962
2025-05-25 65.825206 115.582399 215.425523 459.615770 1163.803730 3715.055318 20519.998835
2025-06-01 63.393917 112.298127 211.677867 459.035523 1191.327219 3958.171015 23803.159920